Dec 20

 

THE STEWARDS CAN GET THIS SERIOUSLY WRONG BECAUSE THEY DO NOT KNOW HOW FIT

THE HORSE WAS THAT SHINN RODE.

 


These type of steward panel experts, point the finger at Jockeys rides and causing

stress, bad publicity, irreputable damage to a jockeys reputation and suspensions with the WRONG defence

material.

They come to conclusions with their form, speed maps and heavens knows what that the horse

should of won or performed better.

Yet, they have no idea how fit the horse actually was and most times had no hope what so ever.

It is all wrong, wrong and wrong again.

The trainer will try and save his clientel by saying the horse was 100% fit,

so poor the jockey is left like a shag on a rock.

In a court of law, I think I can reverse any wrongful decisions by simply asking the stewarP:

"How Fit was the horse that my client rode?"

They will not be able to answer that question and case is dismissed.

It is like the police taking a driver to court for drink driving, but never did a breath test.

James

 

Blake Shinn quizzed again over ride

By AAP

9 hours ago

Blake Shinn has been questioned at length in camera at an ongoing inquiry into his ride on

Star Sensation in a race at Rosehill.

Shinn and apprentice Andrew Adkins, who rode Burden Of Proof, again appeared before

Racing NSW stewards on Tuesday over tactics in the race on November 25.

 

The two were quizzed on race day about their rides with favourite Star Sensation, who drifted

from $3.40 to $4, third and Burden Of Proof fourth behind the Peter and

Paul Snowden-trained pair Bull Market and Poetic Charmer.

 

The inquiry was again adjourned on Tuesday to allow stewards to obtain and review Shinn's financial and

communication records.

Adkins, who attended with his master Ron Quinton, was told stewards had no further questions for him

but might need to call on him at a later date.

 

Evidence was also given by Racing NSW chief investigator Nathan Hayward and

betting analyst Mitchell Reid.

At the original inquiry, stewards asked Shinn why he continued to ride forward and cross

to try to gain the lead on

the Mark Newnham-trained Star Sensation instead of following Radiant Choice.

Star Sensation raced outside the leader Maid Marilyn.

 

Shinn said his instructions were to take up a forward position but he was given no

specific instruction as to where to settle.

 

Newnham told that inquiry he was generally satisfied with Shinn's tactics

 

 

Dec 19

 

 

geoff m

19 Dec 17 08:57

Joined:

23 Feb 03

| Topic/replies: 10,727 | Blogger: geoff m's blog

 

Jim i may have missed it amongst all the blurb/waffle and figures but what was your answer to

Once that holy grail has been established(if ever) then factors such as going /draw /pace/jockeyship each 1 on their own

 

can have a significant bearing on the outcome hence the length fittest horse doesn’t prevail.

Dec 19

 

 

I think of it as a nice green billiard cloth or a pub torn, worn 8 ball cloth.

Or a private golf course like St Andrews as against a public golf course.

All shots are played on the same surface, by all players, so there is very little variance.


If a horse has drawn barrier 18 and the training thinks is 100% fit he will scratch his horse.

If a horse has drawn barrier 18 and the trainer thinks is 90% fit he will run it and it will not win.



Pace:

 

Fitter horses make the pace and fitter horses sit on the pace ready to pounce and win.

Jockeys not really worth the spread sheets, if they are not fit, the jockey cannot lift it to win.



Going:

If a horse is fit and in the mud it can win, if a horse is fit and cannot run in the mud, it is scratched.

If a horse is unfit and in the mud, they do not care, it will run around and a good lay.

Trainers make little difference because they have a 8% - 13% strike rate, so 92-100 lose or 87 - 100 lose.

I hope that helps.

That is why I don't bother about studying the form as for centuries nothing concrete has every come

out of millions of hours of spread sheets by punters.

A fitness edge compared to form study is like Bradman to Phil Tuffnell in batting.

Without being a smartie pants, until someone can knock me off, then I will agree that they

have a better system and I was wrong.


James

Rate reply:

 
 

geoff m

geoff m

19 Dec 17 08:57

Joined:

23 Feb 03

| Topic/replies: 10,727 | Blogger: geoff m's blog

 

geoff m

19 Dec 17 08:57

Joined:

23 Feb 03

| Topic/replies: 10,727 | Blogger: geoff m's blog

 

Jim i may have missed it amongst all the blurb/waffle and figures but what was your answer to

Once that holy grail has been established(if ever) then factors such as going /draw /pace/jockeyship each 1 on their own

can have a significant bearing on the outcome hence the length fittest horse doesn’t prevail.

 

 

 

Dec 19

 

 

Start of week 20

 

16/17 top line fitter horses won                          94% win strike rate

22/22 lays on unfit horses we won on                 100% strike rate

 

$10.7k in exotics

ROI for the day   80%, now we have broken the 5,000% profit in 20 weeks (5,040%)

Long Term, top line fitter horses are winning 87% of the time.

 

We win again tomorrow.

 

I have no fear.

 

James

Dec 19

 

 

I would say that if I put a blind fold over my eyes and ran

my hand over horses, I could still do my fitness ratings.

 

James

Dec 19

 

 

I had to get it right.

 

1% = 1 length.

 

Also on my fitness sheets from the yard,  I divided a horse into 25% of 1 percent and it stands up.

 

So looks like this:

 

99%                  5

98.75%            2 (98.75% fit)  – 6 (98.50% - 4 (98.25% fit) – 11 98.25% fit

98%                 7

 

95%  Lay       14  (Which is actually 88%, but bottom rating)

 

That is how it had to be done.

 

Why not start your own Fitness Edge Punters Club?

 

Visit twitter@fithorses

 

Easy another 100% ROI profit so far today.

 

I have no fear.

 

James

 

Mr James Conway CEO 28.8

28.8 World’s No 1 LIVE FREE Horse Fitness TV

This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

www.28point8.com

 

Dec 19

 

 

Betfair Banter  (the topic was that no one from this plant can do what I have done)

 

Planet earth is only one of my many galaxy stop offs.



You watched Frankel win his maiden. (that was me)

I was there when Archer won the 1st Melbourne Cup

I rode Red Rum to beat Crisp in the Grand National

I was cheering for Ben Hur to win that epic Chariot Race as I was the starter.

I got  Pie fit to win the Grand National for Elizabeth Taylor (that was me)

I was the speech therapist for Mr Ed, originally he could only talked in mandarin.

I taught Trigger his tricks for Hop along Cassidy (that was me)

I have never said I was from earth.



I have no fear.

 

Dec 18

 

 

Good evening punters,

 

A hot day coming up and I will be doing the early start for Kilmore and then Armidale,

all happening at 11.10am.

 

Punters club members had a chance to win $26,000 in PROFITS on Saturday

when on fire for only 11 races.

 

See you tomorrow.

 

Jim

 

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