Jul 22

 

it's nearly a century old trick, reverse the hormones, mares get horses hormones and horses get mares horsemones.

It works I used this system on some of my greyhounds decades ago for winners Jim rt

 

 

 

Accidental doping costs NSW gelding $60k

Lautoro has been stripped of his win at Scone Image: Bradley Photos
The trainer of a gelding inadvertently given female hormone treatment before he won a $100,000 race has been fined $6000.

Connections of Lautaro have also lost the $54,000 prize money the Andrew Dale-trained gelding won in the Kia Ora Stud Handicap at Scone on May 13 before testing positive to Altrenogest.

Altrenogest is an oral progestogen used to regulate the cyclic activity of fillies and mares.

In a statement, Racing NSW stewards said they were comfortably satisfied "inadvertent contamination" had led to Lautaro's exposure to Altrenogest.

A stewards' inquiry was told that in the lead-up to the race, the Albury-based gelding was stabled at Scone between two female horses routinely treated with the steroid hormone.

Godolphin's Interlocuter, who was ridden by Tye Angland, was elevated to first place following the decision to disqualify Lautaro.

I
t takes Darren Beadman
 
Darren Beadman
Professional Jockey
to 36 wins for his two-month stint as head trainer of the racing superpower's Australian operation.
Jul 22

 

 

Racing wars: What does it mean for the punters?

Royal Randwick, home of The Everest Image: Getty
Australia’s two major racing jurisdictions aren’t exactly brothers-in-arms at the moment, as spring carnival changes threaten to turn the Murray River into racing no-man’s land.

What does it actually mean for the punters?

How did we get here?

Racing NSW want to provide more valuable racing, which in turn will provide owners with greater prizemoney, lifting bloodstock investment and attracting international competitors.

In pursuit of this they’ve made changes to their spring carnival: most notably the new $10 million Everest, but also the reshuffling of some black-type races to better support the new race and provide participants with more logical pathways through the program.

The spring is the most valuable time on the racing calendar: the weather is generally favourable and no football makes it the ideal time to appeal to a wider range of sports fans and casual punters.

The changes have ruffled feathers down south as it’s seen as impinging on that very Melbourne institution, the Victorian spring carnival.

Apparently, the Australian Pattern Committee must examine proposed date changes for black-type races, and then pass them to Racing Australia for approval.  This wasn’t done.

That’s ‘apparently’, because Racing Australia are strangely silent on the issue and the question of whether they have any role to play. Nonetheless, Racing Victoria CEO Giles Thompson this week called on Racing Australia to show leadership on the issue.

Racing NSW insist the changes are happening. This would appear to leave Racing Australia largely irrelevant as a body.  By extension, it’s every state for itself.

Racing

At the lower end – weekdays, non-carnival racing – they’re won’t be any change. Horses rarely cross borders for this and they won’t do so in the future.

Similarly, it’s hard to see much changing at the very pointy end. Events such as the Caulfield and Melbourne Cups, the Cox Plate, the Golden Slipper, the Championships and (perhaps in coming years) the Everest will remain the pinnacle of Australian racing. As much as both sides may like to consider it, it’s highly doubtful they’ll go head-to-head and attempt rival races on these days. It simply wouldn’t work.

If there’s a battle, it’ll be fought in between these two levels: the lower profile Group and Listed races that provide enough incentive to lure other states’ horses to travel. These races already clash on occasion - most notably the Australian Guineas and the Randwick Guineas - and it’s NSW’s moves with the Group 2 Hill Stakes and the Group 3 Craven Plate that have kicked things off this time.

If more Group races go to head-to-head, the only foreseeable outcomes are inflated prizemoney and diluted race quality as the best horses are split across two similar races. The problem here is that if the quality of horses isn’t there, Group and Listed races face the longer-term prospect of downgrades.

Wagering

Expect little to change in this area, at least in the short term. Both states have a home tote with Tabcorp and their own wagering deals with corporate bookmakers and Betfair. Minimum bet rules are the same in each state.

The mooted national tote pool, which is still a long shot despite the pending merger of Tabcorp and Tatts, would appear to be as far away as ever given it requires funding agreement between state racing bodies.

The biggest danger for punters is the potential arms race in prizemoney. That prizemoney has to come from somewhere, and racing bodies’ revenue comes from wagering. Whilst the hope is that would be covered by greater turnover, the only other part of the equation is race field rates. If they go up, then the impact is simple: market percentages go up and punters pay.

Promotion

The sport needs promotion and new concepts if it is to grow that turnover, and competition may force more of this. 
 
THIS IS WHERE 28.8 WEB PAGE APP STEPS IN AS NEW FREE SERVICE TO PUNTERS.

Racing NSW are actively making changes and have established the Everest out of nothing, and racing could do with more of that willingness to give new things a go. Similarly with promotion of existing events: non-racing fans could have been forgiven for simply forgetting about last year’s spring carnival, such was the lack of promotion and visibility in the wider media.

Broadcasting

The bugbear of punters who like to play in both states. Sky 1 has the high-volume race-to-race coverage covered and will continue to. But more advanced broadcasts with analysis and mounting yard vision remain divided: Victoria on Racing.com and New South Wales on Sky Thoroughbred Central.

Racing.com has the advantage of a free-to-air channel, which takes its coverage into all Australian homes. The penetration of Foxtel, and therefore Sky, remains at around 30% of Australian households.

Channel 7 has free-to-air rights to major carnivals and generally show both Melbourne and Sydney in tandem on the Saturdays. Hopefully that arrangement remains, though either state has the ability to transfer its carnivals to other FTA stations should it make commercial sense for them.

The holy grail would be both states full-time on free-to-air. But given Racing.com is part-owned by Racing Victoria, it’d appear that’s a long, long way away. 

Punters watching both Victoria and New South Wales are stuck with channel surfing for the foreseeable future. But with national free-to-air exposure seen as critical to the promotion of sport, as well as the potential wagering benefits, punters and racing lovers alike remain hopeful a path to combined coverage can still be found.
Jul 22

NOW ADD FITNESS RATINGS BEFORE THE RACE, SIMPLE, JIM

 

: 5 hours 12 minutes ago at 7:35pm

Form guru Dominic Beirne reveals his secrets to help you win on the punt

Brad Davidson, The Daily Telegraph

ASTUTE analyst Dominic Beirne believes sticking to your punting principles is the best way to maximise your winning ways.

In an in-depth interview with The Daily Telegraph, the former legendary bookmaker now regarded one of Australia’s most astute punters, discusses all things racing and reveals his secrets to help you win on the punt.

RACE WATCH: DAVO’S TIPS FOR RANDWICK

HOT TIPS: WEEKEND BEST BETS

1. Let’s talk about finding winners. Do you have any tips for the average punter when it comes to doing their own form?

The average punter isn’t capable of writing sophisticated algorithms and isn’t able to afford complex data. So my advice is to identify factors that matter most to you.

Doing form is a repetitive practice, so capitalise your time and effort by taking notes of what things have attracted you to a horse and what you might dislike about another. By the time you’ve done a few meetings, you’ll have your own list of positive and negative factors — you might be surprised what you gravitate towards.

This will fast-track your future workload and allow you to concentrate on new factors that you previously haven’t had time for or considered properly.

Always revise the race results in The Sunday Telegraph. Focus on the horses you liked and the winners and placegetters, by paying regard to their stats as tabled in The Saturday Telegraph or Sportsman. This will help you decide if the factors you’re focusing on are worthwhile. It may lead you to investigate new factors in the future.

2. If you had to label the five most important factors when doing the form, what would they be?

1. Form cycle — which run from a spell is this?

2. Days since last start — is my horse likely to perform well today?

3. Race distance — horses have limitations.

4. Jockey — while there may only be a length or so between the top jockey and the 10th best, that equates to being twice as likely to win.

5. Speed map/race shape — are my horses suited? This is the most important factor, but is the last task you should undertake, the final arbiter to bet or not.

3. How important is value and how do you find it?

I’ve been producing betting markets all my life and value is essential to how I think and behave. It is also the hardest thing for the average punter to be taught.

The marketplace in Australia is phenomenally accurate, so if you’re not mathematically inclined, rely on the fact that the market is probably correct, focus on finding your own factors and apply yourself consistently and diligently.

4. Can you give us an insight into your staking plan and how should the average punter stake?

People doing it for a living act as if there is no last race — the amount wagered is dictated by pool size (or what the market will absorb at a value price), the degree of value and the odds.

However, the average punter isn’t positioned to act that way. Your punting bank is not a fixed amount and the amount at your disposal fluctuates from week to week. I recommend that you invest maybe 20 per cent of the daily bank per race. If you’re winning, you’ll be increasing your outlay per race and if you’re losing you’re decreasing. Punting is meant to be enjoyable and there’s a direct relationship between punter satisfaction and longevity in the game.

5. I understand you like to bet on the tote. What are the advantages of betting there?

The biggest advantage of betting on the tote is that no one can see what you’ve bet. Being copied reduces the win odds and causes a reduction in exotic dividends. In other words, you cannibalise your own value in the quinella, trifecta and first four when you bet down the win odds with the bookies.

6. How much of a benefit to Australian racing do you think a national tote pool would be?

I’m not convinced it will be a big deal, but the final pool size is dictated by the size displayed at race time minus one minute, which is dictated by the pool size at race time minus 10 minutes, etc. The bigger the pool, the more it generates.

7. What are your views on exotic betting?

Exotics provide the most wonderful challenges and biggest rewards. Quadrella betting is easily the best value of all bet types in Australia. Basically, the takeout is around five per cent per race.

In order to enjoy punting, the average punter should invest across the various pool types — you can’t pick every winner, and being returned something from the quinella or trifecta can limit your losses, or exaggerate your wins.

8. Do you have a tip for our readers at Randwick on Saturday?

A quick comparison of my computer prices versus the Telegraph’s market draws my attention to race nine at Randwick. Steyne is displayed as a $3.50 chance, significantly longer than my computer price. The race pace may favour Kingsguard ($7), so perhaps your readers can bet 75 per cent of their race investment on Steyne and 25 per cent on Kingsguard.

9. What does the betting landscape look like to you in the next five years?

I envisage a merger of, or withdrawal by, corporate bookmakers as regulations and turnover taxes make it more difficult to profit. I also envisage the introduction of an exciting lottery-style exotic wager that captures the attention of the wider public, and introduces new revenues to the tote and racing industry.

10. How can Australian racing officials ensure racing remains relevant in society today?

To be relevant, you have to firstly exist. As we’ve seen recently with the greyhounds, there’s no certainty of relevance if you don’t behave well. About 10 years ago, the Australian Racing Board under Andrew Harding got on the front foot with important issues of public interest — whip usage and tracking horses from birth to death to ensure they’re treated properly

Jul 22

 

 

Good morning punters I only did 2-3 races yesterday evening becaus of sever buffering, but

did a bonza on the 1st race.

 

1-2-3-4 in order across the line, excellent.

We are at war tomorrow brothers in Melbourne and Sydney, c u then, Jim

 

  1. ipswich, another winner on top, still on fire (1) $5.70 1-2-7-10 pick 4 in order as fitness rated, cool huge profits Divies $330 great rt

     
     
     
     
     
     
  2.  
  3.  

    a lot of punters online, getting buffering and slows things down rt

     
     
     
     
     
     
  4.  
  5.  

    Ipwich races 97% fitness ratings 1-2-7-10/5-8 rt

Jul 20

21 winners on top in just 3 hours, nice and free for punters, Jim

 

  1.  

    Punters 21 winners on top in 3 hours, plus great dutch winners plus thousands in exotics, all on 28.8 live free soon thanks no more rt

     
     
     
     
     
     
  2.  
  3.  

    bendigo trots, 6 nearly broke and up in the death now, wanna be good, 6 goes to the front and wins, another winner on top $3.10 great rt

     
     
     
     
     
     
  4.  
  5.  

    Exacta 4-7 Geelong dogs as called paid huge, $11.00 rt

     
     
     
     
     
     
  6.  
  7.  

    This action all transfers free live on 28.8 shortly, Jim rt

     
     
     
     
     
     
  8.  
  9.  

    Geelong dogs 4-7 another winner on top and this is no 20, $4.90, GREAT EFFORT RATING FITNESS free for punters rt

     
     
     
     
     
     
  10.  
  11.  

    Bendigo trots 6-1 looks well rt

Jul 19

30 plus winners every day now.

 

Hi Members,

 

At the top of my game for 12 months now and on twitter we get our 30 PLUS winners every day,

with most 1st top fitness rating winning and rest in our top 4.

 

Some massive exotics every day and today our 5th rating won the last at Sandown at $41, with $400 in

Quinella and Exacta from the top line.

 

We got $6,000 out of an odds on winner on 98% because I found the (11) at 251/1 for third, amazing.

 

Dogs and trots are doing their job also.

 

Punters need to get used to dutch their bets, that is taking 1-2-3 to show a profit.

 

Software soon and twitter ratings will transfer to our 28.8 web based app.

 

Cheers Jim

 

Mr James Conway CEO 28.8

28.8 World’s No 1 LIVE Horse Fitness % Web App.

This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

www.28point8.com

 

Jul 19

 

 

on later today punters, see if I can find another 250/1 chance fit to make another $6,000 collect, Jim

Jul 18

 

 

I never said I was normal.

 

 

 

28.8 Chant theme song, will record one day.

It is wiccan music, as you may of heard in the great TV series The Highlander and on You tube.

The song goes back to the old testament and the author is unknown but many changes in the words

and arrangements have occurred over the centuries, interesting.

This is one great version:   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y_S93xMn_uo

 

Punters are my family, I must take care of them

Punters are my family, I must take care of them

 

The earth is my father, you must take care of us

The earth is my father, you must take care of us

Hey Hanna Ho Hanna Hey Hon Ho

Hey Hanna Ho Hanna Hey Hon Ho

 

We are your children, we must look after him

We are your children, we must look after him

 

The earth is my father, you must take care of us

The earth is my father, you must take care of us

Hey Hanna Ho Hanna Hey Hon Ho

Hey Hanna Ho Hanna Hey Hon Ho

 

 

Mr James Conway CEO 28.8

28.8 World’s No 1 LIVE Horse Fitness % Web App.

This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

www.28point8.com

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