What Happened today at Ballarat?
Well tried Unfit favourites bit the dust and punters lost millions because they
we’re not fit enough to win, connections or pros, got it wrong.
I went to Ballarat and made NO CALLS all day because of low fitness levels
with compressed ratings too close between unfit and fit.
I was a very good call all day as I respect punters finances and if I had of took the
“easy tip” way out on any favourite, you would of lost a packet.
But my fitness ratings, said no, these horses are not fit to warrant that price.
So that is a huge edge I supply and at times no tip is sometimes a very good tip.
Many races had 95% and 96% top fitness ratings and lowest fitness ratings of 93%, they have to be 98% plus.
I could of called about 8 lays (800% profit) but the ratings were just too compressed
with only 3 lengths between unfit and fittest.
However NONE of the selected lays ever looked like running a place and my
strategies with MARTIN PLACE are looking extremely promising.
Some black bookers, on an ordinary day, with ordinary horses.
Follow these horses next start in country races:
WITHOUT A POP, nice type, plenty of solid strength factors 17/96%
TOUCH OF REASON, low blood count stopped this horse last 80 metres, watch out for 17/96%
NERISSA, nice type and low fitness stopped this runner on only 18/95 fit, will improve.
AIRFAIR, nice type and ran on, can’t believe still a maiden, needs better trainer.
AURELIOUS HERO, Nice big horse backed from $3.60 into $2.20 and never likely on 17/95%, they got it wrong.
OERTER, 18/97%, probably worst ride seen for a while, 3 and 4 wide in small field, back to 2000m get on.
JADES BOY, FAV. only 18/95% and faltered near the line, will improve with that run and fitter
DOMESDAY WARRIOR, 2ND UP ON 18/96% did some nice things at the finish, watch out for a value odds.
MISS SOFTHANDS, very nice type, lightly raced and finished off nicely, 17/96
BABY DON’T CRY, impressive type and good run, on 18/96% should win next start.
ZADON, backed for a stack and its class got it through on low 17/96%, will improve on that hit out.
POSTNTHYME, fit on 18/96% and back in a mares race can win next start, fair type of mare.
What I learnt from this meeting?
Even with compressed ratings MARTIN PLACE has massive potential to be the best system in the world
to keep winning on.