I found this science forumula 20 years into my reseach and if it did not add up to science I had to start again.
Fitness Margins vs Science
When a horse is 100% fit it can run 50kph over a short distance to win a race.
Why would you want to back a horse that can only run 35kph?
My fitness formula is based on 1% = 1 length in advantage a horse has over another, so a horse 10% less fit
i.e.: 90% can be beaten by 10 lengths by a 100% fit horse.
What tests are there to prove your formula?
Scientific test proved that a car travelling at 45kph (10% slower) behind a car travelling at 50kph
will finish 25 meters behind the faster car over a short distance, the same as horses at full speed.
The length of a horse is universally accepted at 2.4 meters, so x 10 lengths = 24 meters.
So my formula is scientifically proven and correct, and it only took me 50 years!
Punters ask yourself; "Why would you want to back a horse unfit to run only 35kph when you can back a horse 100% fit horse to win running at 50kph?"
That is the fitness edge I have.
How fit is your next bet and how fast can it run?
I have no fear.
James