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2017 Form

 

Dec 23

 

 

Chris Waller sticks to winning formula

10 hours ago

The powerful Chris Waller stable is sticking to a tried and true formula, using the adage that when on a good thing stick to it, with its stayers in Queensland.

Sydney's leading trainer Waller opened a Queensland stable in August with the intention of concentrating on staying races and the Magic Millions.

He has won 12 metropolitan races to be seventh on the trainers premiership with nine of his victories in middle distance races.

Waller again has a strong hand in the staying race at the Gold Coast on Saturday, a Benchmark 75, with KIrini odds-on to win.

Waller also has the ultra consistent The Rumour File in the race.

His Queensland stable manager Paul Shailer said they had stuck with a simple plan for all of their stayers.

"They work the same, we use senior riders in races and we don't hustle them along in their races to be near the lead," Shailer said.

Waller is also starting to produce more of his two-year-olds with Hadrian among the main chances in the Aquis Ladies Day 2YO Handicap (900m) on Saturday.

Hadrian, who ran second in a Gold Coast trial earlier this month, will wear a lugging bit and a tongue tie

Dec 22

 

 

Waller attempts to reinvigorate Japonisme

 

 

 
 
Japonisme has been struggling Image: Sportpix

Treadmill sessions and a change of diet have been introduced to try to rekindle Japonisme's desire to race.

A Group One winner and consistent performer in elite company as a three-year-old, the gelding now finds himself in the midst of a form slump stretching back to his most recent win in April last year.

Japonisme has only one placing in 14 starts since he won the Group Two Arrowfield 3YO Sprint (1200m), albeit a creditable third in the Group One Manikato Stakes six months later.

The five-year-old has another opportunity to end his losing streak in Saturday's December Handicap (1400m) at Warwick Farm, but trainer Chris Waller is hopeful rather than confident.

Glyn Schofield (60kg) Chris Waller 5yoG (ch) Choisir x Haiku
Rating 103
Career
28 6-1-6
Earnings
$1,334,865
Wins
21.43%
Places
46.43%
Last 10
10 0-0-0
Win Range
1100-1200m
1st up
6 1-0-2
2nd up
6 1-1-0
Dist
2 0-0-0
Track
2 0-1-1
Trk/Dist
0 0-0-0
Jockey
8 1-0-3
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
14 1-1-5
Soft
7 4-0-1
Heavy
7 1-0-0
 
$15.00 Bet



"He's certainly the class horse of the race, but he's not the form horse," Waller said.

"He's trained off and lost interest."

Waller has used a variety of strategies to motivate the 2015 Coolmore Stud Stakes winner including stepping him up in distance and back to barrier trials.

"We've also changed his training. He does a bit of treadmill work and there's a change of diet," he said.

While Japonisme has struggled, stablemate and opponent Invinzabeel is aiming for a hat-trick.

Invinzabeel started this campaign with two unplaced runs but has found form with back-to-back wins over 1400m at Rosehill.

"He's been in the right races, the right tracks and he looks in good shape. That's been the method. Nothing changes going into Saturday," Waller said

Dec 22

 

 

 

Into week 20 of going live to members for free:  Live SATURDAY in Melbourne and Sydney

 

This week so far:

 

190%:                         ROI   Total ROI  5,150% A WORLD RECORD

 

Exotics:                     This week so far, $21.8k.   $988k, million nearly there, a WORLD RECORD

 

Laying:                      38 lays in a row, undefeated 38/38.    Total 588 bets / 579 winners, A WORLD RECORD

 

Profits on laying:        70,300%  A WORLD RECORD

 

Top line:                   Fitter horses winning 87% of the time, A WORLD RECORD.   

 

I have no fear.         

 

 

Mr James Conway CEO 28.8

28.8 World’s No 1 LIVE FREE Horse Fitness TV.

This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

www.28point8.com

 

 

Dec 21

This is a nice horse.

 

 
 

Charge looking to be Zoustar's 1st winner

 
Waller's colt Charge lines up in R1 at Warwick Farm Image: Getty
Chris Waller is loath to talk up his juvenile stock, but has no issue reminiscing about the sire responsible for potential Golden Slipper contender Charge.

The colt takes his next step towards the world's richest race for two-year-olds in April when he looks to become Zoustar's first winner in a 2YO Plate (1200m) at Warwick Farm.

A $450,000 yearling at the Magic Millions Sale on the Gold Coast in January, Charge is Zoustar's fifth starter since the dual Group One-winning sprinter retired to stud in 2014.

Waller trained Zoustar throughout a nine-race career which yielded six victories and $1.4 million prize money, primarily through winning the Golden Rose and Coolmore Stud Stakes in 2013.

Sydney's leading trainer took Zoustar to Royal Ascot three years ago but a leg injury meant he was unable to race before he returned home to stand at Widden Stud.

Waller was devastated at the time and still remembers the now seven-year-old fondly.

"Zoustar was a natural galloper, a brilliant race horse.

"His ability, attitude and temperament make him a tremendously special horse to me," he said.

Blake Shinn (56kg) Chris Waller 2yoC (b) Zoustar x Queen of the Falls
Rating
Career
1 0-0-1
Earnings
$8,900
Wins
0%
Places
100%
Last 10
1 0-0-1
Win Range
m
1st up
1 0-0-1
2nd up
0 0-0-0
Dist
0 0-0-0
Track
0 0-0-0
Trk/Dist
0 0-0-0
Jockey
0 0-0-0
Firm
0 0-0-0
Good
1 0-0-1
Soft
0 0-0-0
Heavy
0 0-0-0

 
$2.80 Bet
 
 
Charge ran third on debut at Rosehill over 1100m on December 9 after being slowly away before over-racing and copping a check near the 600.

Despite those setbacks he showed enough promise to give Waller confidence he can make further progress on Saturday.

Waller had the choice to run Charge in Thursday's Wyong Magic Millions 2YO Classic (1100m), but the track and distance made him opt for Warwick Farm.

"I feel this horse needs a bit of help and I don't think racing over a 1100 metre journey to every corner on the race track is what he needs," Waller said.

"He just needs to jump and settle and at Warwick Farm there's just the one short bend so he can run in a straight line basically for 700 metres."

Waller said the BOBS incentive was another reason to stay in Sydney.

"With the BOBS bonus it basically makes every Saturday race like a Listed Race anywhere else," Waller said.

"If he could win, the BOBS money will help qualify him for the Golden Slipper and the Magic Millions."

Charge, who jumps from barrier two with Blake Shinn aboard, was the $2.60 favourite with the TAB on Thursday.

Godolphin colt Condemned, one of three newcomers in the field of nine, was the $4 second elect.

A couple of hours after Charge runs, another Zoustar progeny will be in action at the Gold Coast with the Tony McEvoy-trained Sunlight trying to cement her spot in the Magic Millions.
Dec 20

I need a new challenge!

 

I'm in the middle of nowhere
Near the end of the line
But there's a border to somewhere waiting
And there's a tankful of time


Oh give me just another moment
To see the light of the day
And take me to another land
Where I don't have to stay

Dec 20

 

THE STEWARDS CAN GET THIS SERIOUSLY WRONG BECAUSE THEY DO NOT KNOW HOW FIT

THE HORSE WAS THAT SHINN RODE.

 


These type of steward panel experts, point the finger at Jockeys rides and causing

stress, bad publicity, irreputable damage to a jockeys reputation and suspensions with the WRONG defence

material.

They come to conclusions with their form, speed maps and heavens knows what that the horse

should of won or performed better.

Yet, they have no idea how fit the horse actually was and most times had no hope what so ever.

It is all wrong, wrong and wrong again.

The trainer will try and save his clientel by saying the horse was 100% fit,

so poor the jockey is left like a shag on a rock.

In a court of law, I think I can reverse any wrongful decisions by simply asking the stewarP:

"How Fit was the horse that my client rode?"

They will not be able to answer that question and case is dismissed.

It is like the police taking a driver to court for drink driving, but never did a breath test.

James

 

Blake Shinn quizzed again over ride

By AAP

9 hours ago

Blake Shinn has been questioned at length in camera at an ongoing inquiry into his ride on

Star Sensation in a race at Rosehill.

Shinn and apprentice Andrew Adkins, who rode Burden Of Proof, again appeared before

Racing NSW stewards on Tuesday over tactics in the race on November 25.

 

The two were quizzed on race day about their rides with favourite Star Sensation, who drifted

from $3.40 to $4, third and Burden Of Proof fourth behind the Peter and

Paul Snowden-trained pair Bull Market and Poetic Charmer.

 

The inquiry was again adjourned on Tuesday to allow stewards to obtain and review Shinn's financial and

communication records.

Adkins, who attended with his master Ron Quinton, was told stewards had no further questions for him

but might need to call on him at a later date.

 

Evidence was also given by Racing NSW chief investigator Nathan Hayward and

betting analyst Mitchell Reid.

At the original inquiry, stewards asked Shinn why he continued to ride forward and cross

to try to gain the lead on

the Mark Newnham-trained Star Sensation instead of following Radiant Choice.

Star Sensation raced outside the leader Maid Marilyn.

 

Shinn said his instructions were to take up a forward position but he was given no

specific instruction as to where to settle.

 

Newnham told that inquiry he was generally satisfied with Shinn's tactics

 

 

Dec 19

 

 

geoff m

19 Dec 17 08:57

Joined:

23 Feb 03

| Topic/replies: 10,727 | Blogger: geoff m's blog

 

Jim i may have missed it amongst all the blurb/waffle and figures but what was your answer to

Once that holy grail has been established(if ever) then factors such as going /draw /pace/jockeyship each 1 on their own

 

can have a significant bearing on the outcome hence the length fittest horse doesn’t prevail.

Dec 19

 

 

I think of it as a nice green billiard cloth or a pub torn, worn 8 ball cloth.

Or a private golf course like St Andrews as against a public golf course.

All shots are played on the same surface, by all players, so there is very little variance.


If a horse has drawn barrier 18 and the training thinks is 100% fit he will scratch his horse.

If a horse has drawn barrier 18 and the trainer thinks is 90% fit he will run it and it will not win.



Pace:

 

Fitter horses make the pace and fitter horses sit on the pace ready to pounce and win.

Jockeys not really worth the spread sheets, if they are not fit, the jockey cannot lift it to win.



Going:

If a horse is fit and in the mud it can win, if a horse is fit and cannot run in the mud, it is scratched.

If a horse is unfit and in the mud, they do not care, it will run around and a good lay.

Trainers make little difference because they have a 8% - 13% strike rate, so 92-100 lose or 87 - 100 lose.

I hope that helps.

That is why I don't bother about studying the form as for centuries nothing concrete has every come

out of millions of hours of spread sheets by punters.

A fitness edge compared to form study is like Bradman to Phil Tuffnell in batting.

Without being a smartie pants, until someone can knock me off, then I will agree that they

have a better system and I was wrong.


James

Rate reply:

 
 

geoff m

geoff m

19 Dec 17 08:57

Joined:

23 Feb 03

| Topic/replies: 10,727 | Blogger: geoff m's blog

 

geoff m

19 Dec 17 08:57

Joined:

23 Feb 03

| Topic/replies: 10,727 | Blogger: geoff m's blog

 

Jim i may have missed it amongst all the blurb/waffle and figures but what was your answer to

Once that holy grail has been established(if ever) then factors such as going /draw /pace/jockeyship each 1 on their own

can have a significant bearing on the outcome hence the length fittest horse doesn’t prevail.

 

 

 

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