I sent this out to some trainers I know.

Good evening, my pattern watching, backed by fitness percentage ratings over Christmas -  New Year clearly shows me that

when the senior trainer/s take a break or overseas etc., their horses lose 2-5 length in fitness, strength and blood counts.

·        It shows how important a skilled trainer is to an organisation.

We struggle on 96% -97% for winners. I won place betting on low fitness today.

OUR NEXT DAY IS THE TWILIGHT MEETING WEDNESDAY LIVE ONCOURSE AT CAULFIELD.

All the best

Regards

James

Good morning members, nice results Sandown on Wednesday with only 1-2 fittest tips from the yard, this is how it all unfolded.

Similar results as last Saturday.

We passed on some races as too hard, with bets in the 97% - 98% - 99% fitness range.

Winning tip 2^nd fittest Maclairey                                               3^rd pays $1.65 place

Winning tip 1^st fittest Cryptic Jewel                                          2^nd pays $1.70 place

Winning tip 1^st fittest Negasi                                                    Won $5.50 - $2.00

Winning tip 2^nd fittest same race So Belafonte                           2^nd pays nice $4.20 a place, Quin / Exacta $120 - starts off $10,000 in exotics

Winning tip 1^st fittest Shaq                                                      Wins $2.70 - $1.40

Winning tip 2^nd fittest Trigger Point, same race                          3^rd huge $7 a place, $1,000 roving exotics

Winning tip 1^st fittest Villa Sarchi                                              Won $4.60 - $1.80

Winning tip 1^st fittest Hawkshot                                               2^nd, $1.12 place, Fabian Spirit 99% 1^st tip late scratching, black book.

Winning tip 1^st fittest Tin Hat                                                  Won, $3.50 - $1.65

Back live again on-course at Caulfield.

Paid up members please let me know if you want fitness tips.

Regards

James                                                                                                                                                        

From a betfair members.

"only half fit" - 50-60%?
"getting near where i want him to be" 80-90%
"just about now fully fit" 90%
"just missing something" 95%
"fully fit" 100%

Then convert your percentages into lengths. On flat races there maybe 10 horses across the line in 8 lengths. so what is the answer?

Half fit 50% does that finish within 8 lengths of the winner?

So each 10% may be .8 of a percent

80% may be 1.6 lengths off 100%

90% may be .8 lengths off 100%

95% my be 0.4 lenghts off 100%

It won't stand up, as a horse just running in a paddock will get itself 80% fit, then you have pre training and then trials and training,
and then race fitness levels.

My 1% = 1 lengths stands up.

A horse 100% fit will have a 6 lengths edge over a horse 94% fit.


Then you have fitness verses the speed of a horse.


Fitness Margins vs Science

When a horse is 100% fit it can run 50kph over a short distance to win a race.

Why would you want to back a horse that can only run 35kph?

My fitness formula is based on 1% = 1 length in advantage a horse has over another, so a horse 10% less fit i.e.: 90% can be beaten by 10 lengths by a 100% fit horse.

What tests are there to prove your formula?

Scientific test proved that a car travelling at 45kph (10% slower) behind a car travelling at 50kph

will finish 25 meters behind the faster car over a short distance, the same as horses at full speed.

The length of a horse is universally accepted at 2.4 meters, so x 10 lengths = 24 meters.

So my formula is scientifically proven and correct, and it only took me 50 years!

Punters ask yourself; "Why would you want to back a horse unfit to run only 35kph when you can back a horse fit to win running at 50kph?"

It took me 150,000 hours to work this out.

Keep at it, it is all maths and science.

James

There was a race at Sandown today: 99% fit, top rated 4/1

Last and 15 lengths off the lead turning for home, a 25/1 in running chance?

Wins x 3 on super fitness as all its fitness, strength, blood and muscles click in together.

Now that would be overs and a great service to Betfair punters.

Get it right and contact me please.

James

If the bot was universal and could be used in Australia I would do this and contact me.

Have your own ideas then add how fit the horses are 4 minutes before the race e.g.

In running fluations with a fitness edge.

3 - 12/1 - 100%

7 - 2/1 - 95% fit

1 - 4/6 - 80% fit

That is a big winner!

Go for it.

James

We filled members wallets.

Good evening punters, short and sweet; another huge day live on course at Sandown.

·        Live sms tomorrow on-track at Geelong.

·        Register now for $20 SMS fitness tips, then back again Saturday.

·        Current paid up members, please let me know you want on.

Regards

James

Good morning members we have a free iCloud 1-2 fitness tips on Thursday at Geelong and elsewhere.

·        Go to https://live.28point8.com/

·        If you want SMS that day you need to register and pay $20.

·        Live on-course at Sandown on Wednesday to SMS members.

All the best

James