Subject: FAV RISK - UNFIT FAVOURITE to lose.
Good morning punters, my emails are running hot with the new FAV RISK green alert link
· With 99.50% strike rate on unfit favourites LOSING, this is good news for punters and you can go there live on race days for free.
· If a mounting yard tipster can rate the fittest horses, they should also be able to rate unfit favourites for Betfair lays or time to take the overs.
I call an unfit favourite when I have at least 4 horses fitter, just to make sure.
This is all interesting.
I have seen his mounting yard fitness staff around Victoria for years.
There are at least 5-6 I know of how cover a lot of races, 7 days a week.
They enter (ticks?) on each horse on a pad, as they walk past evaluating their fitness and send off to the betting office.
Some times say 1-2 would go to Sale races and not locals, he would be up for 12 hours pay for both = 24 hours, so image his monthly wage bill?
He made money so must be super smart punting on pre race fitness.
Can he duplicate his mounting yard fitness ratings in UK?
I doubt very much in my opinion.
His points of fitness stats for his touch pad spotters will be lower.
Let's say his betting fitness is 95% collective ratings on each horse from spotters.
Because UK training is of a much lower standard, his collective betting fitness will be under 80% - 90%, and in Australia he would not touch these races/horses.
Now he has to bet millions of pounds in a lower framed fitness markets which will present a much higher risk of losing factors.
It just will not be profitable and he will either go to sports betting or come back to Australia.
I have rated millions of horses around the world in fitness, and UK fitness is a very low standard, that is why Australia trainers
can put 10 lengths on a nice horse and win group races here.
Dr Nick is walking right into a huge quick sand pit.